Freight recovering, but slowly.

New figures from IATA appear to indicate that air freight in Australia is improving with the important figure being the FTK Growth (actual freight traffic) and AFTK Growth (available total freight capacity).

Compared to July 2009, international scheduled freight traffic was up 22.7% with the Asia/Pacific Region showing a 25.3% improvement.

“The recovery in demand has been faster than anticipated. But, as we look towards the end of the year, the pace of the recovery will likely slow. The jobless economic recovery is keeping consumer confidence fragile, particularly in North America and Europe. This is affecting leisure markets and cargo traffic. Following the boost of cargo demand from inventory re-stocking, further growth will be largely determined by consumer spending which remains weak,” said Giovanni Bisignani, IATA’s Director General and CEO.

Cargo

  • July global cargo demand was 4% higher than pre-crisis levels in early 2008.
  • A slowdown in air freight markets is expected in the second half of the year as the economic cycle moves into a new phase. Extraordinary freight growth rates in late 2009 and early 2010 were supported by businesses re-stocking their inventories. With the re-stocking cycle completed, air freight demand will be driven by consumer spending and business capital expenditure. Weak consumer confidence in Europe and North America will be a negative factor. But strengthening corporate profits are supporting an increase in capital expenditure that could continue to drive robust freight growth.
  • The two-speed recovery continues to see weak growth by European carriers of 12.1% in July, less than half the 25.3% increase by Asia-Pacific carriers or the 27.1% growth recorded by North American carriers

Although the results look promising, there are obvious worries within IATA about the current state of the aviation industry.

“Costs are a critical element. This year has been marked by strikes and threats of strikes at airlines, and with airports and air navigation service providers. Avoiding strikes at BAA and AENA, Spain’s provider of air navigation services, were major accomplishments. We are all in this together—including all our partners in the value chain and those who work in this financially fragile industry. It is not the time for strikes. We must work together to secure our future by finding solutions to reduce costs,” said Bisignani.

http://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/Pages/2009-08-27-01.aspx
By comparison, IATA Press Release for 2009.

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